Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000986 0.001064 0.001146 0.001240 0.001345 0.001458 0.001591
2026-01-25 0.001012 0.001141 0.001286 0.001464 0.001676 0.001924 0.002240
2026-02-01 0.000892 0.001033 0.001198 0.001407 0.001668 0.001989 0.002421
2026-02-08 0.000809 0.000956 0.001133 0.001364 0.001665 0.002051 0.002594
2026-02-15 0.000754 0.000906 0.001094 0.001348 0.001689 0.002142 0.002810
2026-02-22 0.000700 0.000853 0.001047 0.001314 0.001682 0.002187 0.002962
2026-03-01 0.000646 0.000797 0.000991 0.001262 0.001646 0.002186 0.003043
2026-03-08 0.000612 0.000764 0.000961 0.001244 0.001652 0.002245 0.003217
2026-03-15 0.000579 0.000730 0.000929 0.001219 0.001646 0.002282 0.003361
2026-03-22 0.000535 0.000679 0.000870 0.001152 0.001574 0.002212 0.003318
2026-03-29 0.000508 0.000649 0.000840 0.001124 0.001557 0.002226 0.003418
2026-04-05 0.000498 0.000644 0.000842 0.001144 0.001614 0.002360 0.003740
2026-04-12 0.000479 0.000626 0.000829 0.001144 0.001647 0.002471 0.004062
2026-04-19 0.000516 0.000689 0.000938 0.001339 0.002015 0.003203 0.005731
2026-04-26 0.000484 0.000650 0.000892 0.001288 0.001966 0.003186 0.005871
2026-05-03 0.000457 0.000619 0.000856 0.001251 0.001938 0.003203 0.006090
2026-05-10 0.000439 0.000598 0.000836 0.001236 0.001948 0.003296 0.006500
2026-05-17 0.000418 0.000573 0.000807 0.001205 0.001926 0.003320 0.006751
2026-05-24 0.000395 0.000544 0.000770 0.001160 0.001872 0.003274 0.006818
2026-05-31 0.000380 0.000527 0.000752 0.001143 0.001872 0.003339 0.007190
2026-06-07 0.000365 0.000509 0.000730 0.001121 0.001858 0.003374 0.007487
2026-06-14 0.000342 0.000479 0.000689 0.001061 0.001767 0.003232 0.007258
2026-06-21 0.000329 0.000462 0.000668 0.001036 0.001744 0.003238 0.007461